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White Paper

The journey to net zero

An insurer’s guide to navigating climate risks and opportunities

Insurance Consulting and Technology
Insurer Solutions|Climate Risk and Resilience

September 20, 2021

This paper, a collaboration between Willis Towers Watson and Wellington Management, is intended to be a pragmatic guide for insurers and reinsurers as they steer their organizations on the journey to net zero.

For as long as weather and natural catastrophe models have existed, insurers and reinsurers have been responsible for the commercial assessment of natural disasters, primarily through underwriting and reserves management. Today, amid increasingly devastating consequences and rapidly rising costs of climate-related perils, (re)insurers are expected to play a larger role in helping society mitigate the effects of climate change, build resilience to its effects and support the transition to a low-carbon economy.

(Re)insurers have an opportunity to lead on these issues, building on their deep knowledge of physical risk, and strengthen their position in the marketplace by taking an enterprise-wide approach to climate change. Climate change is going to impact different parts of the business and hence it is important to take a holistic view of the business.

By understanding and managing climate risks on the assets and liabilities sides of the balance sheet and advancing climate-awareness in their own organizations, insurers can effectively navigate climate change. The increasing volatility of loss-causing climate-related events along with growing financial risks to assets in investment portfolios present a dual threat. However, climate uncertainty and the wide range of outcomes associated with climate change also present opportunities to develop a sustainable, progressive and commercially successful strategy for the business.

Climate risk equals enterprise risk

The journey to net zero: an insurer's guide to navigating climate risks and opportunities seeks to reinforce that climate risk is an enterprise risk for insurers, and is divided into eight short sections plus an introduction, that provide practical and pragmatic insights into the challenges of defining, quantifying and managing climate risks – without forgetting the opportunities that climate transition will present.

  1. 01

    Understand climate risks and opportunities

    This section looks to build insurers’ working knowledge of climate-related risks and opportunities, including their potential impacts on invested assets and underwritten liabilities, that will provide the foundation of a climate action plan.

  2. 02

    Develop climate risk scenarios

    The property and casualty (P&C) side of the industry has long modeled physical climate risk to portfolios based on past and projected events. In establishing a strategic approach to climate risk management and resilience, insurers will need to understand how to develop and integrate climate scenarios into their risk modeling.

  3. 03

    Stress test exposed assets

    After determining a framework for the application of a set of climate scenarios, insurers can then begin to integrate climate research and insights into their financial analyses, stress testing assets for climate exposure.

  4. 04

    Develop a climate strategy for liabilities

    Intrinsically, climate change creates uncertainties around insurers’ liabilities in the coming decades and has implications for individual insurers’ portfolios in the long, medium and short term. How do (re)insurers adapt liability management and extend risk assessment for factors such as changing frequency and severity of climate-related perils, shifting consumer behaviour and evolving regulatory and rating agency approaches?

  5. 05

    Develop a climate-aware strategic investment plan

    Investment planning must evolve to account for and capture the range of outcomes — positive and negative —related to the effects of climate change. Insurers needn’t disregard the time-tested strategic asset allocation processes that have served them well; rather, they can make certain climate-specific modifications that supplement and enhance those approaches.

  6. 06

    Join the dots – holistic asset and liability management

    The systemic and long-tailed nature of climate-related physical, transition and liability risks make a compelling, and we would say, indisputable, case for addressing those effects holistically and with a common approach to quantification and analysis. Cohesive, integrated asset and liabilities strategies, with consistent oversight, will be the way forward.

  7. 07

    Bring your people with you

    Climate risk will require an approach that not only better identifies and quantifies physical, transition and legal risks, and that brings a holistic climate lens to liability and asset management, but one also where people are the advocates and enablers of the strategy. Climate is no different from any other driver of significant organizational change – insurers have to bring their people with them.

  8. 08

    Next steps: Some questions to think about in relation to climate risk

    Improving understanding of climate risks and opportunities is an essential part of the journey to net zero, but how do (re)insurers turn that into an integrated, forward-looking climate strategy? Exploring answers to these questions – ranging from issues of accountability and culture to disclosure and underwriting strategy – should help.

Contacts

Global Climate Risk Lead
Insurance Consulting and Technology

Deputy Head of International Catastrophe Analytics, Willis Re

Tim Antonelli
Insurance Portfolio Strategist, Wellington Management

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